![]() ![]() ![]() Projections can’t anticipate alterations in approach, but it seems as though there’d be some merit in letting Simmons swing away again.īy the end of the 2011 season, there seemed to be no compelling reason for Desmond to remain Washington’s shortstop. It seemed, that decline, to be the unwanted product of an attempt to adopt a whole-field batting approach - all of which situation Drew Fairservice documented ably at the end of August. After hitting 17 home runs in 2013 and recording an 8.4% strikeout rate, he declined by both measures in 2014. Perhaps more interesting than Simmons’ defensive acumen - from an analytical perspective, at least, because Simmons’ defensive acumen is the sort of thing one merely sits backs and enjoys - is his offensive profile. That stupid bell would be entirely the fault of Andrelton Simmons. Graph the fielding numbers here and the result, as is generally true of normal distribution, would resemble a bell - but a really stupid bell, in this case, with one side that’s a lot longer and flatter than the other side. Most of them are within a run or two of zero. The next best figure after Simmons’ projection is J.J. If you want, take a moment to scroll down this post and get a sense of the range with which we’re normally dealing. Players aren’t really supposed to receive fielding projections of +20 runs. The current iteration of the Rockies doesn’t really feature that, however - unless, perhaps, either Cristhian Adames or Trevor Story makes a notable leap this year. It would appear, if they possessed a capable secondary option, they could extract even more value out of the position. That alone gives Colorado the strongest shortstop position entering the season. Unsurprisingly, Tulowitzki is projected once again in 2015 to produce more wins than any other shortstop - and, unsurprisingly, he’s expected once again to do it in fewer plate appearances than everyone else. Remove the filter for plate appearances and one finds him tied with Jhonny Peralta atop that particular list - in about 250 fewer plate appearances. Still, the only reason he didn’t record the top WAR among qualified shortstops is because he didn’t qualify. In the case of 2014, the injured body part was the labrum in his left hip, and the total number of games played was 91. Last year was a vintage season for Tulowitzki, which is only mostly a good thing - insofar, that is, as a vintage season for Tulo includes not only exhibiting markedly above-average skills on both offense and defense, but also playing something less than 140 games due to injury.
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